Monday, February 05, 2007
Uh oh
Somebody failed statistics.
Friday saw the release of the report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which called global warming as a result of human activity "unequivocal". The scientific panel, formed by the United Nations in 1990, has released three earlier reports, but none have been nearly as definitive. The use of the word "unequivocal" was as formal as the study's methodology, corresponding to a 90 percent degree of certainty. Here's a followup question: What does it mean to be "90 percent certain" about something of this sort?
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